Press releases archive

Caxton FX launches sponsorship with British skier Chemmy Alcott

Caxton FX launches sponsorship with British skier Chemmy Alcott

Caxton FX, a London-based currency company is delighted to announce Chemmy Alcott as its brand ambassador, today, 29th November 2012. As part of the sponsorship deal, Caxton FX will be Chemmy Alcott’s ... Read more

Caxton FX, a London-based currency company is delighted to announce Chemmy Alcott as its brand ambassador, today, 29th November 2012. As part of the sponsorship deal, Caxton FX will be Chemmy Alcott’s official currency exchange sponsor for the 2013 and 2014 winter sports seasons.

Having been ranked 8th in the world – the UK’s most successful ever winter athlete – Chemmy, is famed for her determination and commitment to excellence.  Chemmy had an injury set back in 2010 on the slopes of Lake Louise and the relationship with Caxton FX comes as Chemmy returns to Canada, the scene of her crash, ahead of the 2013 World Cup season. 

James Hickman, Managing Director of Caxton FX, said: “We are extremely excited by this initiative and we’re very much looking forward to working closely with such a dynamic, ambitious and multi-talented British skier.”

“As a British brand we are 100% behind one of the best British skiers in her pursuit of a victory, in gold, in the Sochi Winter Olympic Games in 2014.”

Chemmy will be supporting the growth of Caxton FX’s prepaid currency cards and online payments service, FastPay.  She will also be involved with several new initiatives and products as Caxton FX supports her, ahead of the 2014 Winter Olympics.

James Hickman added: “As the highest ever ranked British female skier, Chemmy is a great fit for Caxton FX.  We pride ourselves on consistently topping the FX comparison tables and offering an excellent value for money, currency service.”

Follow @CaxtonFXCards and @ChemmySki for further updates.

 

The Outlook for Sterling in 2013

The Outlook for Sterling in 2013

Against the euro we expect the pound to bounce back from its recent weakness and finish 2013 closer to the €1.30 level. Meanwhile, our projections against the U.S dollar are far more pessimistic; we e ... Read more

Against the euro we expect the pound to bounce back from its recent weakness and finish 2013 closer to the €1.30 level. Meanwhile, our projections against the U.S dollar are far more pessimistic; we expect the rate to make a sustained move below $1.60, finishing the year near $1.50.  

GBP/EUR

Tensions in the eurozone have eased in recent months but so many of the region’s fundamental problems remain unresolved. Accordingly, we expect GBP/EUR’s longer-term recovery to be resumed over the course 2013.

The UK’S stuttering economy is the key factor holding the pound back at present. Another quarterly contraction is likely to be confirmed on Jan 25, which will intensify market nerves with respect to a possible triple-dip recession and a probable loss of the UK’s prized AAA credit rating. Despite what is likely to be minimal economic growth this year, we are not expecting the Bank of England to engage in further quantitative easing, which should be supportive of the pound.

Growth in the eurozone is even weaker and we expect the region to remain in recession for a while longer yet. We expect bond market pressures to ramp up again and Spain to be forced into a bailout request, while Greece will almost certainly return to the headlines. This year’s elections in Italy and Germany also pose significant risks to the euro.  

With UK economic data so weak, GBP/EUR faces significant short-term risks. However, we expect GBP/EUR to regain the €1.25 level by the middle of the year, before finishing 2013 closer to €1.30.

GBP/USD

We believe sterling is over-valued against the US dollar. The US economy is still enjoying moderate expansion in a low-growth global economy, to which the US Federal Reserve looks set to respond by ending its QE3 programme in the second half of the year. As the two dominant global currencies, our projections for a weaker EUR in 2013 dictate a firmer outlook for the greenback.

Weak global growth and the absence of a resolution to the debt problems in the US and the eurozone should maintain plenty of safe-haven demand for the USD this year. The Bank of Japan and the Swiss National Bank are engaged in currency intervention to weaken the JPY and CHF, so the USD will continue to enjoy status as the prime safe-haven currency of choice.

GBP/USD is not too far away from its recent 16-month highs of $1.63 at present but we expect this pair to spend most of this year below the $1.60 benchmark. A return to last year’s levels around $1.55 looks probable with significant risks of a move as low as $1.52.

 

If you would like our views on a different pair of currencies please call one of the team on 020 7201 0561

The Outlook for Sterling in 2013

The Outlook for Sterling in 2013

Against the euro we expect the pound to bounce back from its recent weakness and finish 2013 closer to the €1.30 level. Meanwhile, our projections against the U.S dollar are far more pessimistic; we e ... Read more

Against the euro we expect the pound to bounce back from its recent weakness and finish 2013 closer to the €1.30 level. Meanwhile, our projections against the U.S dollar are far more pessimistic; we expect the rate to make a sustained move below $1.60, finishing the year near $1.50.  

GBP/EUR

Tensions in the eurozone have eased in recent months but so many of the region’s fundamental problems remain unresolved. Accordingly, we expect GBP/EUR’s longer-term recovery to be resumed over the course 2013.

The UK’S stuttering economy is the key factor holding the pound back at present. Another quarterly contraction is likely to be confirmed on Jan 25, which will intensify market nerves with respect to a possible triple-dip recession and a probable loss of the UK’s prized AAA credit rating. Despite what is likely to be minimal economic growth this year, we are not expecting the Bank of England to engage in further quantitative easing, which should be supportive of the pound.

Growth in the eurozone is even weaker and we expect the region to remain in recession for a while longer yet. We expect bond market pressures to ramp up again and Spain to be forced into a bailout request, while Greece will almost certainly return to the headlines. This year’s elections in Italy and Germany also pose significant risks to the euro.  

With UK economic data so weak, GBP/EUR faces significant short-term risks. However, we expect GBP/EUR to regain the €1.25 level by the middle of the year, before finishing 2013 closer to €1.30.

GBP/USD

We believe sterling is over-valued against the US dollar. The US economy is still enjoying moderate expansion in a low-growth global economy, to which the US Federal Reserve looks set to respond by ending its QE3 programme in the second half of the year. As the two dominant global currencies, our projections for a weaker EUR in 2013 dictate a firmer outlook for the greenback.

Weak global growth and the absence of a resolution to the debt problems in the US and the eurozone should maintain plenty of safe-haven demand for the USD this year. The Bank of Japan and the Swiss National Bank are engaged in currency intervention to weaken the JPY and CHF, so the USD will continue to enjoy status as the prime safe-haven currency of choice.

GBP/USD is not too far away from its recent 16-month highs of $1.63 at present but we expect this pair to spend most of this year below the $1.60 benchmark. A return to last year’s levels around $1.55 looks probable with significant risks of a move as low as $1.52.

If you would like our views on a different pair of currencies please call one of the team on 0207 2010561

 

 

Reaction to Manufacturing data (1, June 2012)

Reaction to Manufacturing data (1, June 2012)

Comments attributable to Phil Hoey, senior manager for Caxton FX “British manufacturing data released this morning revealed the first contraction in the sector since January and what’s more disappoi ... Read more

Comments attributable to Phil Hoey, senior manager for Caxton FX

British manufacturing data released this morning revealed the first contraction in the sector since January and what’s more disappointing, is that it was the worst manufacturing figure for three years, well below the forecast reading of 49.8.

“Any figure below 50 signifies contraction, which is likely to lend further support to speculation that the Bank of England may revive its quantitative easing programme in light of the downward revision to British GDP last week.

“Further significant indicators are due to be released after the Diamond Jubilee bank holiday, including Construction and Services data, which will reveal the full extent of the health of the British economy.

“The markets will now turn their focus to a raft of economic data due from the US this afternoon, with the unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls figures of particular importance.”

 -ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

Notes to editors

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.
                                                                                                                                                                               

www.caxtonfx.com

Reaction to Services data (June 2012)

Reaction to Services data (June 2012)

Comments attributable to Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX This morning’s figure from the UK services sector is solid but it’s certainly nothing to get too excited about. Nonetheless, it is a re ... Read more

Comments attributable to Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX

This morning’s figure from the UK services sector is solid but it’s certainly nothing to get too excited about.

Nonetheless, it is a relief to see that the UK services sector is firmly in expansion territory, even if the UK economy as a whole is contracting slightly.

These PMI surveys have however lost a little bit of credibility given the positive surveys that characterised Q1, only for a -0.3% GDP figure to be announced.

Warmer weather and increased expectations for activity relating to the Jubilee and the Olympics helped stave off a services decline in May but weakness in the UK manufacturing sector remains the major concern with respect to the UK economy at present.

The figure improves the chances of the majority of the MPC sticking to its ‘no QE’ vote later today.

 

 -ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

Notes to editors

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.

www.caxtonfx.com

24/7 emergency card replacement service means you’ll never be stuck for money again

24/7 emergency card replacement service means you’ll never be stuck for money again

In response to the needs of its customers, foreign currency specialist, Caxton FX, has launched a new emergency service, allowing customers who may have lost or misplaced their currency card to get a ... Read more

In response to the needs of its customers, foreign currency specialist, Caxton FX, has launched a new emergency service, allowing customers who may have lost or misplaced their currency card to get a replacement – delivered at any time of the day or night.

The London-based company  has teamed up with Life Continuity, the UK’s leading provider of everyday emergency rescue services, to launch the Caxton FX Currency Lifeline service today after they experienced a growing number of their customers missing out on a well-earned holiday by turning up at the airport having forgotten their wallet or purse.

James Hickman, MD of Caxton FX, said: “If you turn up at an airport and suddenly realise that you’ve forgotten your wallet, your best, and probably only, option is to return home quickly to try to retrieve it. 

“However, not only do you run the risk of missing your original flight but you may also have  to shell out a significant amount of  money to pay for a replacement. When booking new flights at the last minute – possibly for your entire family – the cost could be considerable.

He added: “In the peak summer holiday season of 2011, well over a dozen customers a month contacted us to arrange a replacement card in these circumstances. Our rapidly growing customer base, coupled with additional travel associated with the Olympics, means that we anticipate much higher levels this year.

“With our new emergency card service, all they now need to do is phone our regular Customer Services number, any time of the day or night, and we will get them a replacement card within the hour. This ensures that they can continue to travel, safe in the knowledge that they’ve got a widely accepted method of payment.”

Research conducted by Life Continuity reveals that airline rules mean that the cost of missing your flight can really add up. As one might expect, low-cost airlines are the strictest with their terms and conditions. Ryanair does not allow customers to transfer their flights less than four hours before the original flight departs, meaning that you’d need to pay for a completely new flight.

Other airlines, such as BMI Baby, do allow customers to transfer their flights for a £35 fee per person plus the difference in the cost of the original and new flight. However, the low-cost airline pricing model means flights booked at the last minute are often considerably more expensive than those booked in advance.

TheCurrency Lifelineservice costs £50 and, if you are at an airport or city centre, you’re likely to receive the emergency card within an hour; for more remote locations, it’s likely to be within two hours. The cards are delivered from one of 18 depots across the UK.

The funds on the original currency card can be transferred to the emergency card, or the emergency card can be loaded with a fresh supply of funds during office hours.

Caxton FX’s currency cards tend to be used by people going overseas looking to save on their holiday costs. Caxton FX’s newCurrency Lifelineservice, however, could also be a lifeline for people who have lost or forgotten their wallet whilst travelling within the UK, whether for business or pleasure. They can order a replacement currency card to be delivered within the hour, rather than wait several days for their bank to send out a new card.

Research by Caxton FX has shown that the majority of high street banks take between three and five working days to send out replacement cards. Barclays was one of the better performers taking just two working days to deliver. However, Santander and Amex were two of the bigger offenders, leaving customers waiting seven to 10 working days to get a replacement card.

NatWest offers a service where you can access £300 if you have misplaced your debit card. However, you can only withdraw the money from a NatWest or RBS Bank cash machine. You also need to be an online or telephone banking customer – otherwise, you will only be able to withdraw up to £60.

Edward Madden, Director at Life Continuity, said: “I’m sure there are many people who have arrived at a hotel or gone to pay their bill at a restaurant in the UK when they suddenly realise they have misplaced or forgotten their wallet.

“For many, this would mean a ruined business trip or weekend break. Not for Caxton FX customers who, by using the Currency Lifelineservice,just need to call the Customer Services line and request a replacement card. An hour later, the card will be delivered to them to use while they wait for their replacement debit and/or credit cards to arrive in the post.

 

-ENDS-

 

Notes to editors

 

Further details of the service includes:

 

  • Delivery is available 24/7 to anywhere in mainland UK, including Northern Ireland
  • The delivery of the card is provided by Life Continuity, which delivers the cards from one of 18 depots across the country
  • Process:
    Customer calls Caxton FX during office hours; Caxton FX connects customer to Life Continuity which captures name, detailed location, detailed physical description, mobile number and issues password; the card is delivered by Life Continuity’s couriers
    Customer calls Caxton FX outsideof regular hours; the call is automatically transferred to Caxton FX’s out-of-hours service who then talk to the customer before switching the call to Life Continuity; the same process is followed as above
  • Life Continuity aims to deliver within the hour (two hours if in remote locations) but cannot guarantee a specific time.

 

In June, Caxton FX visited the websites and made phone calls to HSBC, NatWest, Santander, Barclays, RBS, Lloyds TSB, Barclaycard and Amex to find out the delivery time of their replacement cards.

 

Details of NatWest’s emergency cash service can be found here: http://www.natwest.com/personal/current-accounts/g4/cards/abroad.ashx#tabs=section1

 

Life Continuity visited Ryanair (http://www.ryanair.com/en/terms-and-conditions#regulations-flightandnamechanges) and bmibay (http://www.bmibaby.com/bmibaby/terms_and_conditions/fees_and_charges.aspx) to find out charges to change flight details.

 

About Caxton FX

 

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority for the provision of payment services.

 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

 

Founded in 2002, it offers great rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

 

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

 

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.
                                                                                                                                                                              

www.caxtonfx.com

 

 

About Life Continuity

Life Continuity™ are specialists in the 24-hour rapid delivery of personal, critical items.

 

Since 2005, Life Continuity has provided a range of rescue services which enable people who experience an everyday emergency to continue their day with the minimum of disruption. The

 

services, which provide modern, effective alternatives to expensive or out-dated solutions, include SpareKeys, SparePlastic and MobileQuick.

 

The company operates a national service from 18 depots across the UK, including Northern Ireland. Rescues are typically completed within an hour of the customer’s request. The record is eight minutes.

 

The services are currently available to over 500,000 consumers via financial services and retail brands, including Santander Bank and Europ Assistance. SpareKeys is also available direct to the consumer via the new website www.sparekeys.com.

 

Life Continuity is the trading name of SpareKeys.com Ltd.

Reaction to BoE statement and QE (July 2012)

Reaction to BoE statement and QE (July 2012)

Comments attributable to Edward Knox, currency analyst for Caxton FX The decision by the Bank of England to introduce another £50bn worth of monetary stimulus has taken no-one by surprise. Last mont ... Read more

Comments attributable to Edward Knox, currency analyst for Caxton FX

The decision by the Bank of England to introduce another £50bn worth of monetary stimulus has taken no-one by surprise.

Last month’s MPC minutes induced market makers to start pricing in quantitative easing for this month, with the minutes revealing that some notable members of the MPC hopped over to the dovish side of the fence in a 5-4 split against further stimulus.

However, the latest tranche of abysmal growth figures from the UK and falling inflation will have influenced the Bank in pushing the button on the money-printing presses this month as concerns grow about the blackening economic outlook and the need to kick-start our economy.

As ever, the market gets excited about central bank action and quantitative easing would in any other circumstance see the pound sold off. However, the UK’s AAA status and the hands-off approach that the Bank of England has adopted to currency levels will keep the pound well supported for now.

 -ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Edward Knox, Currency Analyst

Edward.knox@caxtonfx.com

 

Notes to editors

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.
                                                                                                                                                                               

www.caxtonfx.com

Poor maths skills leaving Brits out of pocket abroad

Poor maths skills leaving Brits out of pocket abroad

15% of holidaymakers do not feel confident converting currency in their head Almost 1 in 5 adults (15%) aren’t confident enough in their maths skills to calculate how much they are spending in a fore ... Read more

15% of holidaymakers do not feel confident converting currency in their head

Almost 1 in 5 adults (15%) aren’t confident enough in their maths skills to calculate how much they are spending in a foreign currency when on a summer holiday, research from prepaid card specialists Caxton FX has found.

The survey of over 2,000 British adults, conducted by YouGov on behalf of the foreign currency experts, found one in five female holidaymakers (20%) are not confident with on the spot currency conversion, compared to 10 per cent of male holidaymakers who admitted the same. It also appears that the younger the individual, the less confident they are about mental arithmetic, with a fifth of 18-24 year olds (21%) admitting to not being confident, compared to just 12 per cent of those aged 55and over.

The research also found some 40 per cent of Brits, the equivalent of approximately 20 million adults*, would opt to pay for goods in pounds when using their debit or credit card instead of the local currency when abroad, exposing themselves to poor exchange rates and extra charges as a result of dynamic currency conversion (DCC). Considering this, alongside British holidaymakers’ evident insecurity about their currency conversion capacity, then there could be a serious impact on British pockets.

DCC occurs whenever someone opts to pay for goods, or enter the amount they wish to withdraw from an ATM, in pounds rather than the local currency. Typically, a holidaymaker will be charged around 4 per cent extra for using pounds, and the exchange rate is likely to be worse as it can be set by the merchant undertaking the transaction.

A further 18 per cent of those surveyed admitted that they wouldn’t know which currency to choose when given the option, this percentage was again much higher in the younger 18-24 age group where some 27 per cent were unsure of the best course of action.

James Hickman, Managing Director of Caxton FX said:“The number of people getting caught out by DCC has actually increased in the past year and a lack of understanding about the risk of associated charges seems to be at the heart of this.

“An extra 4% charge on every transaction could add up to some serious cash over the course of a two week holiday and some rather surprising bank statements upon return to the UK. However, DCC is  a perfectly legal charge so it’s up to the individual to make sure they are not being caught out by this.”

With purse strings tightened, the luxury of a summer holiday is a significant investment for many Brits but Caxton FX’s research found holidaymakers’ budgets are not spreading as far as they should. The research revealed some 15 per cent of holidaymakers take the risk on local exchange rates, and change currency after they reach their destination. While more than a quarter, (26%) expose themselves to bank charges by using their debit card abroad.

Hickman added: “Using your debit card abroad could expose you to a charge from your bank on every transaction, on top of a less than favourable exchange rate. Additionally, using ATMs at the destination airport or changing money at your resort are some of the worst options for consumers. Usually, the exchange rate will be very poor and each withdrawal can cost upwards of £1.50!

“It’s tempting to overspend on holiday as it is, so a bit of pre-holiday planning and shopping around for the best currency deal before you head off  will make sure your hard earned pennies go that extra mile. Using a prepaid currency card will help ensure you get a good rate and allow you to budget more efficiently. However, if you do find you need to use your debit card abroad, make sure you’re withdrawing large sums to avoid the flat fees per withdrawal.”

Caxton FX’s top money saving tips this summer:

  • Don’t be caught out by DCC – ALWAYS pay in the local currency
  • Get organised and order a pre-paid currency card, like a Caxton FX Europe Traveller, in advance. This can help you budget and pre-paid cards typically offer a better exchange rate and fewer charges than using your debit card
  • Don’t be embarrassed to whip out the calculator on your phone if you get stuck; it’s better to know what you’re spending than risk extra charges by paying in pounds 


Notes to Editor:

Caxton FX is the UK’s most respected expert on foreign exchange. Built on over 10 years of experience, the company is committed to offering consumers value for money but not at the expense of customer service.

Caxton FX offers a wide range of personal and professional foreign exchange solutions. It provides a wide range of prepaid currency cards, for personal and corporate use, enabling consumers and business travellers to make the most of their money while they’re abroad.

The company was founded by Rupert Lee-Browne in 2001 as an FX broker, offering bank-beating exchange rates for large transactions. Today the company exchanges millions of pounds for both consumers and businesses on a daily basis.

Methodology

*ONS GB Adult (aged 18+) population figure of 47,754,569 used.

All figures, unless otherwise stated, are from YouGov Plc. Total sample size was 2007 adults, of which 1929 have been on a summer holiday. Fieldwork was undertaken between 11th - 13th April 2012. The survey was carried out online. The figures have been weighted and are representative of all GB adults (aged 18+).

Press Contacts:

pressoffice@caxtonfx.com 

020 7201 0572

Reaction to French and Greek elections and the plummeting euro

Reaction to French and Greek elections and the plummeting euro

Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX, said: “The latest political developments from Greece and France have had an immediate impact on the euro, hitting three-and-a-half year lows against the pound, ... Read more

Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX, said:

“The latest political developments from Greece and France have had an immediate impact on the euro, hitting three-and-a-half year lows against the pound, and the long-term consequences are potentially disastrous for the single currency.

“Greece is struggling to form a coalition and it’s anyone’s guess whether the new Government will be able to or even want to deliver the austerity the Troika demands, thus increasing the chances of a possible Greek euro-exit.

“Clearly the victory for Mr Hollande is likely to cause conflict with respect to Merkel’s pro-austerity approach but the political situation in Greece is a more pressing concern.

“Sterling is gaining plenty of momentum thanks to its growing safe-haven status and considering the chronic instability within the eurozone, we could realistically see the pound hitting €1.30 mark by the autumn.”

 

-ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

 

Notes to editors

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            

www.caxtonfx.com

Reaction to Bank of England’s MPC announcement (May 2012)

Reaction to Bank of England’s MPC announcement (May 2012)

Comments attributable to Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX “There was certainly a significant risk of further QE today, particularly in light of the recent negative ONS figure pointing to a UK rec ... Read more

Comments attributable to Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX

 “There was certainly a significant risk of further QE today, particularly in light of the recent negative ONS figure pointing to a UK recession and April’s weak PMI surveys.

 “Policy bias within the MPC was certainly skewed against further QE in April but there was always the chance that several members were happy to let the last £50bn run its course, only to see pro-QE votes re-emerge in May.

 “While the BoE’s QE programme may be on hold for now, as ever, the MPC minutes on 23 May will be crucial, particularly regarding whether Posen or Weale stuck to their no-change position.

 “Next week’s Quarterly Inflation Report will also be very important and seems likely to reveal stubborn price pressures are increasing the chances of UK inflation exceeding medium-term targets, which is the key motivation for the MPC voting against additional QE today.

 “Nonetheless, there remains a very significant risk of further QE in the coming months, particularly if UK growth continues at the softer pace that was indicated by April’s figures. The extra bank holiday in the form of the Queen’s Jubilee will also weigh on the chances of UK growth bouncing back into positive territory on Q2. 

 “Sterling has understandably rallied on the no-QE decision, hitting fresh highs towards €1.25. The pound is likely to remain in favour at least until the MPC minutes are revealed in a fortnight."

 

  -ENDS-

 For more information on this story contact:

 Steven Fifer

 Press Officer

0207 201 0572  

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

 
Notes to editors

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.
                                                                                                                                                                                        

www.caxtonfx.com

Reaction to April 2012 UK employment figures

Reaction to April 2012 UK employment figures

This morning’s unemployment data represents some rare good news from the UK’s struggling labour market. Positives out of the UK economy have been few and far between of late, so this upturn in UK emp ... Read more

This morning’s unemployment data represents some rare good news from the UK’s struggling labour market. Positives out of the UK economy have been few and far between of late, so this upturn in UK employment should be celebrated.

With unemployment claimants shrinking by 13,700 in April, this is the most upbeat monthly development in almost two years.

Additionally, the news that the eurozone avoided technical recession in the first quarter of this year also provides some relief, though understandably events in Greece are weighing on confidence.

However, this morning’s data also confirmed that UK wage growth is in an awful state and with the UK officially back in recession, there are few signs of a sustained recovery path for the UK labour market.

Overall, this morning’s UK data will benefit the pound as it will take some of the pressure off the MPC to do further quantitative easing.

 

 -ENDS-

 

Comments attributable to Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX

 

For more information on this story contact:

 

 

Steven Fifer

 

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

 

Notes to editors

 

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

 

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

  

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

 

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.
                                                                                                                                                                                  

www.caxtonfx.com

Reaction to BoE's inflation report (May 2012)

Reaction to BoE's inflation report (May 2012)

Mervyn King sounded surprisingly dovish this morning, though it was no great surprise to see the UK’s short and long-term growth prospects downgraded and inflation forecasts upgraded. T he Bank of En ... Read more

Mervyn King sounded surprisingly dovish this morning, though it was no great surprise to see the UK’s short and long-term growth prospects downgraded and inflation forecasts upgraded.

T he Bank of England is clearly very concerned by the threat posed to the UK economy by negative developments in the eurozone crisis, and rightly so.

Unfortunately, the key point is that as gloomy as these growth forecasts are, they do not factor in the knock-on effects of a messy euro collapse and could therefore be too optimistic.

The market is focusing on the UK weak domestic growth and perhaps pricing in QE3 from the BoE as a result. However, stubbornly high UK price pressures remain a deterrent and there is still a sense that the MPC is concerned with its credibility with respect to controlling UK inflation.

 -ENDS-

Comments attributable to Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX

For more information on this story contact:

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

 

Notes to editors

 

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

 

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

 

 

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

 

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.
                                                                                                                                                                                    

www.caxtonfx.com

Reaction to inflation data (May 2012)

Reaction to inflation data (May 2012)

A drop in UK inflation to 3.0% is obviously good news for consumers, all the more so in light of the recent UK recession headlines. BoE Governor Mervyn King has avoided having to write an explanatory ... Read more

A drop in UK inflation to 3.0% is obviously good news for consumers, all the more so in light of the recent UK recession headlines.

BoE Governor Mervyn King has avoided having to write an explanatory letter to the Chancellor - regarding persistently high inflation - but we expect he will have to do so again later this year. 

This morning’s UK inflation figure may well embolden some of the more dovish members of the MPC when considering further quantitative easing at their June meeting.

Tomorrow’s MPC minutes will be more significant as far as the outlook for sterling is concerned, the market will be very keen to know how the voting pattern on QE is looking, particularly in light of Posen’s recent dovish comments.

 

 

 -ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

Notes to editors

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.

www.caxtonfx.com

Reaction to MPC minutes and monthly retail sales (May 2012)

Reaction to MPC minutes and monthly retail sales (May 2012)

Comments attributable to Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX  MPC minutes The MPC minutes revealed an 8-1 split in favour of holding off on further quantitative easing, whilst an interest rate hik ... Read more

Comments attributable to Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX

 MPC minutes

The MPC minutes revealed an 8-1 split in favour of holding off on further quantitative easing, whilst an interest rate hike is obviously off the table for a long time to come.

David Miles was a certainty to continue voting for more QE in light of the confirmation of the UK double-dip recession and we were expecting one or two other policymakers to join him.

The fact that Miles remains the lone dove is definitely a positive for sterling. Judging by Posen’s recent comments though, we think he will be rejoining the QE camp in June

When you factor in the latest UK retail sales number and the recent escalation of the eurozone debt crisis, it won’t be a surprise to see the MPC edge closer towards introducing more QE in the summer.

UK Retail Sales

This morning’s awful UK retail sales figure represents a disappointment to already very low expectations.

This is the worst monthly drop-off in well over two years and completely overshadows March’s bumper performance.

Clearly, April’s extremely wet weather was the key driver of the retail sector’s poor performance, so we can expect May’s figure to bounce back to some degree.

 -ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

Notes to editors

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.
                                                                                                                                                                                   

www.caxtonfx.com

Minimising the impact of currency on your business

We live in a world where business is done at an electrifying pace with transactions being made between companies based in different countries around the world. This undoubtedly involves making payment ... Read more

We live in a world where business is done at an electrifying pace with transactions being made between companies based in different countries around the world.

This undoubtedly involves making payments in currencies other than sterling and one of the most important foreign currencies concerning British businesses is the euro, considering that the eurozone is the UK's biggest trading partner.

The euro has been a relatively strong currency for the past few years but has recently seen its strength decline fairly rapidly as a result of the ongoing eurozone debt crisis.

It looks as if Greece will be able to avoid a default in March but will surely return to the headlines later in the year. The bond markets suggest that Portugal is next in the market's sights and beyond that possibly Spain and Italy.

We predict that the euro will continue to deteriorate in 2012, with sterling possibly reaching a rate of €1.25 by the summer and €1.30 by the end of the year. The euro has made a strong start to the year but we don't see this lasting, not least because the eurozone is heading back into recession and the European Central Bank will be cutting interest rates once again next month.

So how can you reduce your exposure to foreign exchange and the cost of those transactions?

First of all, if the euro continues to decline, then this is good news for businesses importing goods or services from the eurozone as goods will be cheaper.

However, if you're exporting to the eurozone, you may well see a decline in orders from your euro-based customers. Looking across the pond, the world's largest economy is beginning to show signs of recovery so it might be a good time to explore the American markets.

The next time you're looking to exchange sterling into euros, we always recommend that you shop around for the best rates. Lots of people look for their car insurance via online comparison websites and there's no reason why you shouldn't look for the best rates before buying foreign currency.

Banks are not always the best places to purchase your euros as many of them will charge you for every foreign exchange transaction you make. Research shows that on average they charge a fee of around £21. If you make half-a-dozen transactions a month to companies in the eurozone, then that means you are spending around £1,200 per year on foreign transaction fees - money that could be going towards growing your business.

We also recommend you go through a specialist foreign exchange broker as they have the expertise to help reduce your exposure to foreign exchange and therefore, save you money.

For example, some foreign exchange brokers waive the fee to complete transactions, while others have online trading platforms, which means you can conduct your own trades at any time of the day.

Specialist brokers will also work with you to explore hedging options to minimise your exposure to currency fluctuations.

There are 'spot trades' where your transactions are settled on the spot, affording you more control of your money flow and you can also look at forward trades, where you are able to lock-in a good rate when you see it but pay for the transaction at a time that suits you.

And in terms of saving on costs while you or your staff are overseas, such as hotel and restaurant bills, why not try a prepaid currency card, offering convenience, security and generally better exchange rates.

Prepaid currency cards are a great alternative to carrying around lots of cash and can be used to pay for bills anywhere you see the Visa or MasterCard sign.

 

 

 -ENDS-

Notes to editors

This story can be attributed to Richard Driver, currency analyst for Caxton FX.

For more information:

Steven Fifer, 020 7201 0572, steven.fifer@caxtonfx.com

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange companyauthorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   

www.caxtonfx.com

Euro/US Dollar to hit $1.10 in 2012

On the back of the euro's poor performance at the end of last year, Caxton FX predicts that the single currency will continue to decline dramatically in 2012 with the US dollar being the prime benefic ... Read more

On the back of the euro's poor performance at the end of last year, Caxton FX predicts that the single currency will continue to decline dramatically in 2012 with the US dollar being the prime beneficiary.

Richard Driver, currency analyst for Caxton FX, said: "In the past quarter, the eurozone debt crisis has intensified to such a degree that it threatens the very existence of the single unit and risks plunging the global economy into financial catastrophe.   

"Consequently, there is a real possibility that we will see the EUR/USD pairing dipping as low as $1.10 this year, maybe even approaching parity, as well as the GBP/EUR strengthening towards €1.30."

Since the end of October, the euro has fallen by 8% against the US dollar, while sterling has climbed by 5% against the single currency.

Elsewhere, currencies such as the Japanese yen and the New Zealand and Australian dollars have recently set all-time record highs against the ailing euro.

Caxton FX believes that this is a reflection of the market's realisation that the eurozone is entering the most critical and high-risk phase since its inception.

Richard Driver said: "The region is heading into recession but more importantly, fears are growing that political progress on tackling the region's debt crisis will prove insufficient in both scale and scope.

"Greece could well default and exit the eurozone in March and the chances of other peripheral nations following suit are significant."

He added: "We believe there will be a lack of confidence and investment in the euro and as a result, the single currency will continue to weaken aggressively almost across the board in 2012.

"With the US economic recovery really gaining pace, combined with a distinctly risk-averse and dollar friendly outlook, we are betting that the US dollar will be a high performing currency in 2012."

 

 

 -ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Richard Driver

Currency Analyst

0207 201 0561

richard.driver@caxtonfx.com

 

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

 

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

Notes to editors

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  

www.caxtonfx.com

Reaction to US Non-Farm Employment Change

Reaction to US Non-Farm Employment Change - Caxton FX Comments attributable to Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX Today’s US non-farm payrolls figure came in above expectations and represents yet a ... Read more

Reaction to US Non-Farm Employment Change - Caxton FX

Comments attributable to Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX

Today’s US non-farm payrolls figure came in above expectations and represents yet another positive from the world’s biggest economy, it really is going from strength to strength.

With the eurozone heading in to recession and China slowing down, the US economic growth is the only genuine good news story for the market to enjoy at present. Investors are clearly still very suspicious about the Greek situation and risk appetite remains hemmed in.

The US unemployment rate didn’t come down from 8.3% as we were anticipating but the uptrend we are seeing in the US labour market will surely bring it down next month. US government belt tightening is hitting public sector jobs pretty hard but the private sector is more than picking up the slack.

Whilst the pace of growth in the US manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors moderated a little in February, there is plenty of underlying strength there.

The US dollar has rallied on today’s jobs figure, which supports our view that the upward trajectory in US growth will make 2012 a strong year for the greenback. We also see EUR/USD below $1.30 this month.

 

 

 -ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

Comment on February's Overseas travel & tourism data

Comment on February's Overseas travel & tourism data

After the release of the ONS' Overseas travel and tourism February data, Caxton FX released a statement as follows: Comment from Rupert Lee-Browne, CEO Caxton FX Cards: "ONS figures have revealed to ... Read more

After the release of the ONS' Overseas travel and tourism February data, Caxton FX released a statement as follows:

Comment from Rupert Lee-Browne, CEO Caxton FX Cards:

"ONS figures have revealed today that while visits abroad by UK residents have slightly risen in the past 12 months, expenditure on those visits has fallen, albeit marginally.

“Taking a closer look at the data, British people going on overseas holiday decreased and this is definitely a concern for the travel industry.

“However, it’s not all doom and gloom as our research has shown that in the past six months an increasing number of customers  have taken steps to manage their finances more effectively on holiday, without missing out on the opportunity to go overseas.

“The ONS’ figures also suggest that visits to Europe increased while trips to North America decreased. We have recently noted a similar trend, as people are holidaying closer to home, and within a more reasonable budget.

“Mainstays such as France and Spain have proven to be perennially popular with our customers, however other European destination, such as Cyprus, the Netherlands, Hungary, Estonia, Slovakia and Lithuania, have also attracted holiday-makers.

"Taking control of your finances when you're on holiday is essential, and using a prepaid card can make it much easier for people to track what they're spending on, helping to reduce any shock bank statements when they return home."

 

 

Reaction to March's Services PMI figures - Caxton FX

Reaction to March's Services PMI figures - Caxton FX

This morning’s UK services figure was a welcome surprise and should quell fears that UK growth is fizzling out after a strong start to 2012. The recent figures out of the UK construction and manufa ... Read more

This morning’s UK services figure was a welcome surprise and should quell fears that UK growth is fizzling out after a strong start to 2012.

The recent figures out of the UK construction and manufacturing sectors were genuinely impressive and suggest there is a bit more momentum in British industry than has been indicated in recent weeks.

The OECD’s analysis last week asserted that the UK will post another negative GDP figure in Q1, thus leaving it in technical recession, but in light of this week’s UK figures we are confident that we will see some positive growth, albeit fairly modest.

Taken as a whole, March’s PMI figures are likely to solidify the safe-haven status of UK assets, including sterling, and will also reduce bets on further quantitative easing from the BoE.

While the UK economy is still lagging America, this week’s data clearly highlights the diverging growth trajectories of the UK and the eurozone.

Nonetheless, this week’s positive numbers come, as ever, with the usual caveat that the UK economy remains extremely vulnerable to fresh crises in the eurozone, high oil prices and ongoing UK austerity.

 -ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Richard Driver

Currency Analyst

Richard.driver@caxtonfx.com  

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

Caxton FX voted holidaymakers favourite in new Which? Travel Report

Caxton FX voted holidaymakers favourite in new Which? Travel Report

Press Release 01.07.2011 Caxton FX voted holidaymakers favourite in new Which? Travel Report Caxton FX number one choice in foreign exchange league tableForeign currency experts Caxton FX receive top ... Read more

Press Release 01.07.2011

Caxton FX voted holidaymakers favourite in new Which? Travel Report
Caxton FX number one choice in foreign exchange league table

Toptable

Foreign currency experts Caxton FX receive top marks from consumers in Which? Magazine’s latest foreign currency report.  

Caxton FX went head to head against big named brands such as M&S Money, the Post Office and Travelex and were voted the number one foreign currency outlet by its customers.

Which? compared Caxton FX with 7,850 forex retailers. The online-only brand secured a whopping 89% rating from its customers - the highest score in the market and 18% above average. Rated on their exchange rate, customers service experience, convenience of service and ease of collection – Caxton FX came out top of the polls. 

James Hickman, MD of Caxton FX said:
“To get this industry recognition is a fantastic achievement and is something we are very proud of and one of course delighted to receive.
“We work very hard to keep our rates competitive and customers happy.

However we won’t be resting on our laurels after being awarded this accolade. News like this just helps us to strive higher and keep improving. We are continually reviewing our products and facilities to ensure we offer our customers the best possible service.”

Which -report -table

 



- ENDS -
Press Contacts:
Steven Fifer
020 7201 0572
steven.fifer@caxtonfx.com

Notes to Editor:
• Which? Conducted the survey in January 2011 via an online panel of 5644 Which? Members who travelled abroad in the past two years
• On the 6 May 2011 Which? Collected exchange rates for euros and US dollars from the websites of all companies mentioned above
• Caxton FX is the UK’s most respected expert on foreign exchange. Built on over 10 years of experience, the company is committed to offering consumers value for money but not at the expense of customer service.
• Caxton FX offers a wide range of personal and professional foreign exchange solutions. It provides a wide range of pre-paid currency cards in Dollars, Euros and Worldwide currency enabling consumers to make the most of their money while they’re abroad.
• The company was founded by Rupert Lee-Browne in 2001 as an FX broker, offering bank-beating exchange rates for large transactions. Today the company exchanges millions of pounds for both consumers and businesses on a daily basis.



Reaction to April's PMI Services data - Caxton FX

Reaction to April's PMI Services data - Caxton FX

 This is the weakest UK services figure since last November but looking at the figure on a global scale, the sector is in truth performing pretty solidly. This week’s PMI data as a whole demonstrat ... Read more

 
This is the weakest UK services figure since last November but looking at the figure on a global scale, the sector is in truth performing pretty solidly.

This week’s PMI data as a whole demonstrates that the manufacturing, construction and services sectors are all above the all-important 50.0 mark, which is more than can be said of the eurozone. This slowdown is no cause for panic and the UK has a strong chance of bouncing back out of recession this quarter.

The expectations element of this morning’s survey indicate hopes are high for a boost from the Olympics this summer, which may well be delivered but probably not to the extent many are anticipating.

This latest figure is probably sufficient to prevent the MPC from introducing yet more quantitative easing at next week’s meeting. David Miles’ dovish stance has been strengthened by the recent ‘double-dip’ headlines but the rhetoric out of the Bank of England does suggest that the rest of the committee is more concerned with high UK inflation than with broadly flat lining UK growth.

Of course, it goes without saying that further QE from the BoE will follow if UK growth continues trending down.

-ENDS-

Notes to editors

Comments attributable to Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX

For more information on these comments contact:

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   

www.caxtonfx.com

Reaction to LTRO 2 (ECB loans) results - Caxton FX

Reaction to LTRO 2 (ECB loans) results - Caxton FX

Comments below can be attributed to Richard Driver, Currency Analyst for Caxton FX. This morning’s €530B LTRO result was broadly in line with consensus and takes ECB lending at 1.0% up to €1trn, whic ... Read more

Comments below can be attributed to Richard Driver, Currency Analyst for Caxton FX.

This morning’s €530B LTRO result was broadly in line with consensus and takes ECB lending at 1.0% up to €1trn, which goes a long way to explain how the euro has managed to bounce back in the past three months. 

On the one hand, the large take-up suggests that liquidity will continue to improve and that eurozone institutions will be more robust moving forward. However, some might take it as a clear indication of ongoing instability.

The first LTRO was a major success and Draghi is right when he says it has averted a credit crunch. Nonetheless, it is often the case that repeated monetary easing measures produce diminishing returns, so I don’t think we can expect LTRO 2 to result in the same easing of pressures in Italian and Spanish bond yields that December’s ECB loans triggered.

That said, we are not discounting further LTRO down the line, depending on where the debt crisis heads from here.  

What is important now is that European banks use these funds to lend to individuals and businesses to stimulate economic growth, rather than just buying up government bonds.

The market seems to be adopting a “buy the rumour, sell the fact” response to the LTRO news so far, with EUR/USD losing half a cent. We may well see a ‘risk on’ tone push this pair higher towards $1.35 once the dust settles though.

 

 

-ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

Reaction to Portugal passing its bailout review

Reaction to Portugal passing its bailout review – Caxton FX Comments below can be attributed to Richard Driver, Currency Analyst for Caxton FX. The market’s response has been fairly muted but it is de ... Read more

Reaction to Portugal passing its bailout review – Caxton FX

Comments below can be attributed to Richard Driver, Currency Analyst for Caxton FX.

The market’s response has been fairly muted but it is definitely relieving news from Portugal.

Portugal is clearly next on the market’s ‘hit list’ and this next tranche is essential for eurozone confidence in the short-term. It staves off fears that Portugal is destined to follow the same path as Greece.

Portugal is making the right noises in ruling out the need for further aid but the market is very much in wait and see mode now, the cynics will say they’ve heard it all before.

Ireland has shown that aggressive reforms can actually work and return countries to competitiveness, so there is a precedent to follow there.

The OECD’s research shows that the periphery are actually working hard on their reforms, the problem is it can take a long time for all of the benefits to emerge, time the markets aren’t necessarily willing to grant countries like Portugal.

It will be interesting to see if tomorrow’s 3-year LTRO from the ECB relieves some of the pressure on Portuguese bond yields. Portuguese yields actually increased since mid-December’s LTRO and you’d assume they will be left out in the cold this time, which is a major concern.

 

 

 -ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Richard Driver

Currency Analyst

Richard.driver@caxtonfx.com  

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

Comments following release of construction figures – Caxton FX

Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX, said: "While December's improvements in the UK manufacturing and construction sectors are a definite positive, they have unfortunately failed to spark much relie ... Read more

Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX, said: "While December's improvements in the UK manufacturing and construction sectors are a definite positive, they have unfortunately failed to spark much relief in the market.

"The manufacturing sector remains in contraction and the construction sector represents a pretty negligible percentage of overall UK GDP.

"It is the pessimistic view of the UK economy as a whole that is dominating at present, with flat growth for Q4 2011 being a good result as things stand.

"The outlook for 2012 remains very gloomy indeed and ultimately, developments in the eurozone will have the final say over whether the UK plunges back into recession."

 

 

-ENDS-

For further information please contact:

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

 

Caxton FX's reaction to January's retail figures

Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX, said: "This morning's 0.9% UK retail sales figure is staggeringly strong and has caught the market completely offside. On the back of December's strong retail sa ... Read more

Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX, said: "This morning's 0.9% UK retail sales figure is staggeringly strong and has caught the market completely offside. On the back of December's strong retail sales growth, this represents an excellent start to the year.

"The growth is not really down to January high street discounts - non-store/online sales look to have been the key performers.   

"There was a minor clue from the improved UK consumer confidence figure earlier in the week, however, high street sentiment remains at historically very low levels and nobody saw this coming.

"Some fairly sharp recent declines in UK inflation will have played a part but wage growth has been poor and household incomes remain tightly squeezed so this is a genuine upside surprise."            

He added: "This morning's figure is welcome news but as Mervyn King was quick to remind us yesterday, the near-term outlook for UK growth is still distinctly downbeat and huge uncertainties remain, not least due to the threat from the eurozone.

"Sterling has been given a push by the figure as you would expect, though it will continue to be driven more by external events in Greece in the short-term."

 

 

 -ENDS-

 

For more information on this story contact:

 

Richard Driver

Currency Analyst

Richard.driver@caxtonfx.com  

 

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

Notes to editors

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.                                                                                                                                                               

www.caxtonfx.com

 

Reaction to Bank of England’s inflation report - Caxton FX

Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX, said: "It was firmly expected that the BoE would project a sub-2% inflation rate on the two year horizon, which is supported by the sharp decline in CPI in each ... Read more

Richard Driver, analyst for Caxton FX, said: "It was firmly expected that the BoE would project a sub-2% inflation rate on the two year horizon, which is supported by the sharp decline in CPI in each of the past five months. This is good news for UK consumers but won't be supportive for sterling in the longer-term.

"The BoE's downward revision to UK growth projections is not a huge surprise, regardless of the punchier figures we have seen at the start of this year. The central bank's expectations for near-term growth remain suppressed and won't do anything for domestic economic sentiment.

The situation on the need for further QE is more than a little ambiguous. If another dip back into recession is sidestepped then further stimulus may be avoided, clearly growth figures will be crucial.

With so much ongoing uncertainty emanating from eurozone growth and debt levels, we still see the bias skewed towards further stimulus this year. We are betting on more QE in May but the situation is highly fluid.

It is eminently clear from Mervyn King's press conference that he is scared stiff by negative developments on the continent.

 

 

 -ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Richard Driver

Currency Analyst

Richard.driver@caxtonfx.com  

 

Steven Fifer

Press Officer

0207 201 0572   

Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

 

Notes to editors

Caxton FX is a foreign exchange company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. 

 At Caxton FX it is our mission to make foreign exchange convenient, fee-free, transparent and protected.

Founded in 2002, it offers bank-beating rates and fee-free transfers on large and small currency transfer transactions. The company also offers advice on timing and hedging strategies and is a leading commentator in the media on trends in the foreign exchange markets.

Caxton FX offers three prepaid currency cards: the euro, the dollar and the Global Traveller (Sterling), which is suitable for use worldwide. Caxton FX corporate currency cards offer the same great exchange rates, and administration systems to help reduce business travel costs.

Our FastPay service, which brings an online service enabling regular payments of small sums overseas with no transaction charges, brings significant savings to our customers. Over 96% of our FastPay customers recommend it.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  

www.caxtonfx.com

How does an FX company prepare to trade new currencies?

Specialist foreign exchange broker, Caxton FX, has been looking at the measures they would need to take in order to trade new currencies. What with Greece being perilously close to dropping out of the ... Read more

Specialist foreign exchange broker, Caxton FX, has been looking at the measures they would need to take in order to trade new currencies.

What with Greece being perilously close to dropping out of the euro and recent news that London is going to be an exclusive trading hub for the Chinese Renminbi, being prepared to trade new currencies is something Caxton FX is looking at sooner rather than later.

"The process is relatively simple," said James Hickman, MD of Caxton FX. "What will happen is that an interbank exchange rate will be created by market makers who will then start selling the new currency.

"We will then list the new denomination on our systems and begin trading as soon as possible.

"While we are waiting for this to become reality, we have been testing our systems with new currencies and their respective codes so that we are able to support our clients' currency requirements and respond to any situation."

The UK looks set to become a trading hub for the Renminbi, which you can currently only trade in Hong Kong and China itself.

Caxton FX welcomes the prospect and James Hickman said: "This is fantastic news for British-based financial institutions and reasserts London as the FX capital of the world.

"If there is more volume to trade, this will see increased revenue and could result in other financial institutions setting-up their own headquarters in London, which would be massive shot in the arm for the UK economy."

Caxton FX also predicts that we could see the 'unraveling' of the euro, with weaker countries dropping out of the single currency.

James Hickman added: "Greece instantly springs to mind and it's imperative that we are able to start trading in the new currency as soon as possible.

"There will be lots of our clients with mortgages or commercial interests out in Greece and testing the new drachma will assure them that we can react to anything the world economy throws at us."

 

 

-ENDS-

For more information on this story contact:

Steven Fifer
Press Officer
0207 201 0572
Steven.Fifer@caxtonfx.com

 

 

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